How Much House Can I Afford? Use the 28/36 Rule
Most people look at the monthly payment and forget everything else. That's how buyers end up house-poor โ technically able to pay the mortgage but cash-strapped after it. The right question isn't "can I get approved?" but "can I afford this without financial stress?"
The 28/36 Rule Explained
Banks use the 28/36 rule as a baseline for mortgage approval. Two thresholds:
- 28%: Total housing costs (mortgage P&I + property taxes + insurance + HOA) should not exceed 28% of gross monthly income.
- 36%: Total monthly debt (housing + car loans + student loans + credit cards) should not exceed 36% of gross monthly income.
Example: $80,000/year gross income = $6,667/month. Max housing payment: $6,667 ร 0.28 = $1,867. If you already pay $400/month in car and student loans, total debt cap is $6,667 ร 0.36 = $2,400 โ leaving only $2,000 for housing, tighter than the 28% limit.
What Actually Goes Into Your Monthly Payment
"Monthly payment" means PITI โ Principal, Interest, Taxes, and Insurance. Most online calculators only show P&I. Add the rest before deciding what you can afford:
- Property taxes: typically 0.5โ2.5% of home value per year (varies significantly by state)
- Homeowners insurance: roughly $100โ200/month for a $300,000 home
- PMI (if under 20% down): 0.5โ1.5% of loan amount annually โ $125โ375/month on a $300k loan
- HOA fees: $0 to $600+/month depending on the community
A $300,000 home at 7% with 10% down has a P&I payment of about $1,796/month. Add taxes, insurance, and PMI and total PITI easily hits $2,200โ$2,400.
How the Down Payment Changes Everything
The down payment has two compounding effects: it reduces the loan amount (lowering P&I) and, if you hit 20%, eliminates PMI entirely.
- 20% down on $300k: $1,610/month P&I, no PMI
- 10% down on $300k: $1,796/month P&I + ~$200 PMI = ~$2,000/month
- 5% down on $300k: $1,895/month P&I + ~$280 PMI = ~$2,175/month
Going from 5% to 20% down on a $300k home saves roughly $565/month โ that's $6,780 per year, or $135,600 over the first 20 years before you factor in the PMI dropping off.
The Costs Nobody Warns You About
Closing costs run 2โ5% of the loan value โ typically $6,000โ15,000 on a $300k purchase, paid in cash at closing. This is separate from your down payment.
Ongoing maintenance is the sleeper expense. Budget 1โ2% of the home's value per year: a $300k home needs $3,000โ6,000 annually for roofs, HVAC, appliances, plumbing, and the other things that inevitably break. Skipping this budget line is how homeowners end up with credit card debt after a $4,000 furnace replacement.
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